The Emerging AI Arms Race Transforming the Conflict in the Region

AI drone technology
Enemy AI unmanned aircraft pose a new challenge to Ukrainian forces, according to an expert

"This technology constitutes the future threat," cautions Serhiy Beskrestnov, who recently acquired a newly intercepted enemy drone.

This proved to be no ordinary drone either, it was revealed. Powered by AI, the unmanned aerial vehicle is able to locate and strike targets autonomously.

The consultant has inspected many drones in his capacity as Ukrainian military advisor.

In contrast to other models, the drone didn't send or receive any signals, so be impossible to disrupted.

AI video analysis
AI processes the feeds from the battlefield, shown here

Both sides' militaries are experimenting with AI in the conflict, and for certain tasks are now deploying it, to assist in finding targets, gathering intelligence and clearing mines.

For the Ukrainian army, AI is now essential.

"The military gets over 50,000 video streams [from the battlefield] every month that get analysed by artificial intelligence," states Ukraine's defense official.

"This enables us rapidly process this massive data, pinpoint objectives and place them on a map."

AI-Driven Technology as a Critical Asset

AI-enhanced technology is regarded as a tool that improves military strategy, optimize assets and ultimately save lives.

However when it comes to autonomous armaments, it's transforming the warzone.

Ukrainian soldiers currently employ AI-based software so that unmanned aircraft lock on a objective and subsequently operate independently for the last few hundred metres till the mission concludes.

Signal disruption is impossible and shooting down such a tiny airborne device proves difficult.

Remotely controlled machine gun
Vadym's firm produces remote-operated machine guns that are able to follow targets using AI

In the future these systems are expected to become fully autonomous armaments that are able to detect and destroy objectives by themselves.

An operator must do is tap a icon on a mobile application, notes Yaroslav Azhnyuk, chief executive of Ukrainian developer.

It handles everything else, he says, finding the objective, releasing explosives, evaluating the impact and afterwards coming back to base.

"And it would not even require piloting skills from the user," he continues.

Interceptor Systems and Upcoming Developments

Interceptor drones with such automation could significantly strengthen air defences against enemy long-range attack drones, such as the infamous certain models.

"An AI-driven self-operating unit can be superior to a human in numerous aspects," explains Azhnyuk. "It is more perceptive. It detects the objective sooner than a person. It is quicker."

The official says that kind of system does not exist yet, but he mentions the country is nearing finishing its creation. "We have partly implemented it in certain equipment," says the deputy defence minister.

There could even be many thousands of such systems in place by the end of 2026, claims Azhnyuk.

AI interceptor drone
AI interceptor aircraft might protect the nation from certain enemy drones, Iranian-made drones deployed by Russia

Concerns and Dangers of Total Independence

However Local developers are wary of completely relying on defence systems that rely entirely on AI, with no human involvement. The risk is AI might not distinguish a friendly fighter from a hostile one, as they may be wearing the same uniform, notes Vadym, who asked to remain anonymous.

The firm makes remote-operated machine guns, that employ artificial intelligence to autonomously identify individuals and track them. Because of concerns over friendly fire, he states they avoid including an automatic shooting option.

"We can enable it, but we need to gain further expertise and more feedback from the military units to determine the safe conditions to use this feature."

Moral Concerns and International Rules

Additionally, there are fears that automated systems will violate the rules of war. How will they avoid harming civilians, or tell apart soldiers who want to surrender?

According to the official, the ultimate choice in such circumstances should rest with a human, although AI would make it "simpler to choose". Yet it's not certain that states or militant factions will adhere to international humanitarian norms.

Therefore neutralizing such technologies becomes increasingly important.

How do you stop a "swarm of drones" when electronic warfare or employing aircraft, armored vehicles or rockets is rendered ineffective?

The nation's highly successful "Web" operation, when 100 drones targeted Russian air bases last June, is believed to be supported by AI tools.

Many in Ukraine worry that Moscow may replicate this approach, not just on the front line but further afield as well.

The country's leader cautioned the United Nations last month that AI was contributing to "the most destructive weapons competition in history."

He called for international regulations for the application of AI in weapons, and said the issue is "equally pressing as stopping the proliferation of atomic arms."

Jennifer Jackson
Jennifer Jackson

Tech enthusiast and digital strategist with over a decade of experience in gaming and emerging technologies.